The number of Covid cases in the Bay Area (and according
to news reporting, other places) are perking up again. With the
positives reported by the media about Covid vaccination rates, despite
it still being ways to go, people and the government are feeling
optimistic. Restrictions are being lifted, and people are going out
regardless.
In regards to the size of this coming wave, it would
be a function of how quickly the population gets vaccinated and how much
of the population decides that this is fine and starts to live
"normally" again. I don't have the data to model this, I would at least
need data from a similar disease that requires vaccination to do a very
rough estimate.
But the big picture is, the chart is showing a
start of a potentially new wave, and given what we know of our
situation, it very likely is a new wave.
The picture below is a screenshot of the data updated to April 11, 2021, for cases of Covid. The dashboard is here and the companion post is here.
